Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.172735 1.326267 1.494073 1.691376 1.917369 2.168551 2.469458
2025-12-14 0.916581 1.113679 1.346452 1.642723 2.011331 2.456831 3.039069
2025-12-21 0.743282 0.956101 1.223492 1.586376 2.069484 2.695342 3.575352
2025-12-28 0.664103 0.897005 1.205644 1.648543 2.274293 3.136436 4.430937
2026-01-04 0.598253 0.842616 1.181647 1.692326 2.452426 3.558285 5.319048
2026-01-11 0.543929 0.794836 1.157335 1.727427 2.616525 3.975297 6.257688
2026-01-18 0.495867 0.748778 1.127653 1.747096 2.754953 4.366025 7.209001
2026-01-25 0.445145 0.691929 1.073669 1.719762 2.811630 4.629187 7.983575
2026-02-01 0.392451 0.625733 0.996918 1.644689 2.777011 4.731598 8.487751
2026-02-08 0.353132 0.576693 0.942027 1.598403 2.783361 4.901315 9.133545
2026-02-15 0.321266 0.536603 0.897451 1.563868 2.804425 5.096860 9.853247
2026-02-22 0.307594 0.525898 0.901396 1.615096 2.987109 5.613102 11.283359
2026-03-01 0.288240 0.504457 0.886237 1.633216 3.116792 6.059764 12.679942
2026-03-08 0.264643 0.473219 0.850516 1.608817 3.161291 6.345828 13.791025
2026-03-15 0.240802 0.439224 0.806275 1.562644 3.155706 6.527901 14.704370
2026-03-22 0.233118 0.434735 0.817148 1.627607 3.390111 7.256498 17.029471
2026-03-29 0.223632 0.425773 0.818276 1.672387 3.586904 7.931656 19.359929
2026-04-05 0.213895 0.415312 0.815230 1.707706 3.767156 8.596172 21.798666
2026-04-12 0.203413 0.402319 0.805630 1.727408 3.913939 9.203458 24.211700
2026-04-19 0.189544 0.381075 0.776749 1.700520 3.946565 9.534769 25.931976
2026-04-26 0.172853 0.352469 0.729570 1.626402 3.854390 9.535538 26.705227
2026-05-03 0.160041 0.331066 0.696080 1.580692 3.827288 9.702363 28.008202
2026-05-10 0.149256 0.313159 0.668693 1.546580 3.825458 9.936970 29.571011